An old paradox with very interesting consequence.
So, this means that in another piggy bank there is either $10 or $1000.
Then you are offered to change your opened piggy bank (with that $100) to the other one.
So, using this line of reasoning you are thinking:
If you’d be lucky, you will gain $900 ($1000-$100), if not – you will lose $90 ($100-$10). The loosing sum is 10 times less then winnings and the possibility to win is 50%. So, you should agree to the change.
But then it means you should have been chosen the other piggy bank from the very beginning. But that is totally ludicrous because piggy banks are 100% equal!
The consequence is:
Let us suppose you’re the young belle girl who was proposed to marry by 2 princes, both in white limousines. And you very very much want to marry.
But whoever you decide to choose between the two, you will be wrong – you should have been marrying the other prince.
I consider “young belle girls” are not befriended with logic. And your consequence with piggy banks too.
“But then it means you should have chosen the other piggy bank from the very beginning.” – it doesn’t mean this, not at all!
Comment by Me — October 29, 2008 @ 12:59 pm
That’s why to people there is always not enough *.
*fill in what you want
Comment by friend — October 29, 2008 @ 3:01 pm